Results & impact 20 April 2022
Exploring plausible futures for a territory, to steer public action
Short project video (in French)
The Niayes region is the leading horticultural zone in Senegal. It faces a range of challenges: falling water tables, urban sprawl, pollution, and so on.
Looking to the future
The Niayes 2040 project, funded by AFD, is nearing completion. In particular, it has included a series of workshops that have brought together players from the region involved in waste management, land use planning, agriculture, education, etc. Four facilitators from CIRAD and ISRA led workshops to build scenarios, with around fifteen participants.
Six scenarios built and debated
Those workshops resulted in six plausible futures, and the pathways to them. This foresight exercise was followed by several debriefing sessions and debates, led by the workshop participants, on the futures people in Niayes want to build for their region.
Building a culture of anticipation…
This type of operation serves to build a culture of anticipation within a community, in other words an ability to imagine various future scenarios, in order to choose between them.
… to steer public action within a territory
This territorial foresight method combines a diagnosis of past local dynamics, a participatory foresight exercise and spatial modelling, to provide quantitative indicators for the various scenarios. It serves to think collectively about sustainable pathways, and as a decision support tool for public action on a territory level.
Long version of the project video (in French):